Taking each team in the order in which they finished this season:
Maryland (#1 Seed in Raleigh Region)
Results: Beat sixteen-seed Dartmouth, beat nine-seed Utah, beat four-seed
Vanderbilt; lost to three-seed Louisville.
What Went Right: After winning the ACC regular season and tournament titles, the
Terps blew through the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament behind
strong showings by Marissa Coleman. However, the Terps' lack of defensive intensity
started to catch up with them as they had to rally to beat a less talented
Vanderbilt team behind a superhuman performance by Coleman. Coleman proved
that she deserved the ACC player of the year award over Toliver, given her
ability to score from anywhere on the floor against any kind of opponent, get
to the foul line and also rebound. She was also clutch in game after game.
The Terps' also developed some nice supporting players, especially JuCo star
Dee Liles.
What Went Wrong: Maryland's softness as a team was exposed by upstart Louisville, who
suffocated Coleman and Toliver defensively and pounded them inside. Maryland's
greatest asset was their supreme ability to score whenever needed and come back
from almost any deficit, but Louisville coach Jeff Walz knew that as long as his team
confidently attacked the basket and kept a lead, his old team wouldn't be able
to recover. It had to be especially galling for Maryland coach Brenda Frese
to lose to her old chief recruiter, given their current, seemingly icy
relationship. That's especially true since Maryland's recruiting hasn't been
the same since Walz left.
Next Season's Outlook: Frese should be happy that her team finally won the ACC
after several years of frustration, because it seems like the good times are
over. With Coleman and Toliver gone, the Terps will lose nearly half their
scoring punch. But the transfer of starting wing Marah Strickland poured salt in that wound -- cumulatively, Maryland has lost 45 out of
of 79 points per game, with no obvious successors who have anywhere near the
talent level of Coleman, the accuracy of Toliver, or the potential of Strickland. At the moment, the Terps have only nine scholarship players, something likely to be remedied over
the summer with the addition of JuCos. Next year's team will regroup around rising soph post
Lynetta Kizer and high-flying Liles.
Reserve guards Anjale Barrett and Kim Rodgers both showed promise last season as scorers and will be asked to take
many more shots. Frosh point guard Dara Taylor may well be thrust into an
immediate starting job, while transfer wing Lori Bjork will get all the minutes
she can handle. Frese will hope she can get some backup post minutes from
projects like soph Yemi Oyefuwa and frosh Essence Townsend, but freshman Tianna Hawkins will need to be ready to play right away. There's still some talent
left in College Park, but this is not a team that will contend for an ACC
title.
Florida State (#3 Seed in Trenton Region)
Results: Beat fourteen-seed NC A&T, lost to six-seed Arizona State.
What Went Right: A very good year for Florida State fizzled in
postseason play. They tied for the ACC regular-season crown and knocked off
both Duke and UNC at home. Rising senior center Jacinta Monroe blossomed into
stardom, while senior guards Tanae Davis-Cain and Mara Freshour were steady
scoring hands. The biggest key for the team was that rising junior Courtney Ward emerged as a solid point guard, freeing up the other perimeter players to
score. This was one of the most balanced teams in the league, playing
excellent defense, scoring inside and out and featuring a number of fine
athletes.
What Went Wrong: While FSU was very well-balanced, they lacked that one player
with the star power needed to bail them out of tight spots. Playing Arizona
State was a bit like playing a mirror version of themselves and it wound up
being a bad matchup for the Seminoles. ASU's depth was enough to contain FSU,
who lacked that transcendent player who could take over in crunch time.
It
must also be acknowledged that FSU benefited from an easy league schedule, especially
in that they had to play the league's three traditional powers just once
apiece, and all at home. Once postseason play began, FSU simply regressed to
the mean.
Next Season's Outlook: The big question for FSU will be where the shooting will
come from. The team will look to quick guards Angel Gray and Alysha Harvin to
pick up some of the slack from the departing senior guards, but both of those
players had best hit the gym and practice their jumpshots this summer. Rising
soph center Ciera Bravard has a great deal of potential but will also need a
summer of serious conditioning. Her playing time was at times limited last year due to
sheer exhaustion. FSU will focus their offense around their bigs
while getting to play quicker players at other positions; look for more
pressing and trapping.
Ultimately their fate as a team will lie in how well
Ward continues to develop. She became a legitimate starter this season, but
does she have what it takes to evolve into a star? If the answer is yes, look
for FSU to maintain their status as a top-four team in the league.
UNC (#3 Seed in Oklahoma City Region)
Results: Beat fourteen-seed UCF; lost to six-seed Purdue.
What Went Right: The Heels started the year 17-0, beating Oklahoma in Norman to
win the preseason WNIT. They also took care of Ohio State on the road and
looked like they were ready to continue their mini-dynasty in the ACC. Their
huge home win over Duke in January was their last big highlight of the year.
The team did get a great year from versatile rising senior forward Jessica Breland, while junior Italee Lucas became a deadly scorer. Sophs
She'La White and Chay Shegog had extremely promising rookie years.
What Went Wrong: The Heels finished the season 11-7, including that embarrassing
loss to Purdue in which the Boilermakers shot 57%. The Heels were humbled by UConn
at home and dropped key road games at Duke, FSU, Maryland and Georgia Tech. The
Heels lacked a true leader to keep their organized chaos in line; departing
senior Rashanda McCants was definitely not that player. She regressed last year and was
erratic from game to game. Breland, while extremely talented, could dominate
one night and throw up a goose egg the next. The most distressing thing for
the Heels was that their team rebounding was not what it once was, nor were
they the physical club that opponents once feared.
Next Season's Outlook: The team's only significant loss is McCants, and there is
plenty of talent coming in. Frosh Tierra Ruffin-Pratt could be the wing
defensive stopper the team has needed. There's plenty of size coming into the
program as well, and expect Shegog to grab a starting spot as a soph. That
will allow Breland to slide back over to power forward. Half
the roster seemed to be playing out of position last season; a greater
overall comfort level is likely for the team this coming year. UNC will have more quality depth
and size than any other ACC team, and I expect them to be on top of the league
standings once again.
Virginia (#5 Seed in Trenton Region)
Results: Beat twelve-seed Marist; lost to four-seed California.
What Went Right: The Cavs overcame some serious personnel issues to make the
NCAA tournament and score a comeback win over a dangerous foe. Monica Wright
continued her showing as one of the league's most dominant players, while the
frosh showed some potential. Virginia beat both Florida State and Maryland and
were the only team to do so in the regular season. Even without star forward Lyndra Littles, the Cavs also beat Tennessee in
Knoxville.
What Went Wrong: When starting guard Paulisha Kellum went down with a preseason
ACL injury, Virginia's hopes for a league title went into the tank. Kellum was
supposed to replace all-time assist leader Sharnee Zoll, but that task was
instead spread around over a committee that wasn't up to the task.
Littles had
to sit out the first semester for academic reasons, and while she put up good
numbers upon her return, the team as a whole wasn't that much better even with her present. That's mainly
because the team's only defensive stopper, Enonge Stovall, flunked out of
school. It also didn't help that powerful center Aisha Mohammed never quite
regained her form of a season ago due to injury.
Coach Debbie Ryan also started
to lose her faith in talented frosh point guard, Ariana Moorer, forward Chelsea Shine and
wing Whitny Edwards. She instead gave more playing time to more experienced but
less talented players, and the results were predictable. By season's end,
Virginia was a tough draw because of the sheer scoring ability of Wright and
Littles, but the Hoos couldn't defend anyone.
Next Season's Outlook: Kellum's return will be a welcome one, as she and Wright
will be the only upperclasswomen of note. How good Virginia can be will lie in
the development of their rising sophomores and in the impact of their
highly-regarded freshman class. Frosh PG China Crosby is likely to be given a chance to
run the team right away, while posts Erinn Thompson and Simone Egwu will be
called upon to rebound and score in the paint immediately. This is a team that
could take a month or two to gel, but there's a lot of talent here. Virginia
could finish anywhere from third to seventh, but they likely won't be a team
that anyone will want to play late in the year.
Georgia Tech (#9 Seed in Oklahoma City Region)
Results: Beat eight-seed Iowa; lost to top-seeded Oklahoma.
What Went Right: This scrappy Jackets team felt like it was a year away from
making a big splash, but they still scored plenty of big wins. They beat
Georgia, Michigan State and UNC to bolster their postseason credentials. For a
program whose NCAA tournament wins could be counted on one hand, they easily
took care of Iowa in the first round. Oklahoma was a bad matchup for them, but
it was clear that do-it-all wing Alex Montgomery has become a star. Their
extremely physical, full-court pressing style of play also bothered a lot of
opponents.
What Went Wrong: Not to sound like a broken record, but Tech struggled because
they didn't feature a true point guard nor did they have any kind of consistent
post presence. This meant that they struggled to get easy baskets in the half
court and depended way too much on turning opponents over. This also forced
Montgomery to take up too much of the scoring slack, so one often saw
her taking tough shots.
Next Season's Outlook: This could be Tech's year to challenge for a top-two slot
in the league. They return every significant player but defensive demon Jacqua Williams. She was ostensibly the team's point guard but wasn't a true
playmaker; it was a position she was thrust into. There is some balanced
scoring on this roster, with forwards Brigitte Ardossi and Iasia Hemingway giving
opponents different looks and guard Deja Foster stepping up as a soph in all
areas. The real key for the team will be the development of hulking center
Sasha Goodlett. Goodlett is tall, powerful and quite skilled, but her
conditioning is not up to ACC standards. If she gets in better shape, then
Tech will have that low-post option that frees up everyone else. Keep an eye
on frosh point guard Sharena Taylor; if she can step in and run the team, then
Tech will challenge UNC for the league title.
Duke (#1 Seed in Berkeley Region)
Results: Beat 16-seed Austin Peay; lost to nine-seed Michigan State.
What Went Right: Duke went unbeaten at home and finished just a game behind
Maryland and FSU for the regular-season league crown. Then they beat two ranked teams in the
ACC tournament before falling to the Terps in an overtime classic. That run
earned them a Number One seed in the NCAA tournament, albeit one that found them playing in hostile territory.
Chante Black earned some All-America nods with her steady play, guard Jasmine Thomas started to harness much of her considerable potential, and powerful wing
Karima Christmas emerged as a physical and clutch presence. Duke's defense was
relentless and suffocating, and their depth wore down many opponents.
What Went Wrong: The loss to Michigan State, McCallie's former team, was a
confluence of a a lack of intensity and a failure to make necessary in-game adjustments when the
game plan wasn't working. Guard Abby Waner did a little of everything except
shoot well. Duke's offense was stale and predictable, except when certain
players freelanced after offensive rebounds. The pound-it-inside philosophy
wasn't really meant for this team's personnel, and the players themselves
frequently looked visibly unhappy and confused trying to play it.
Next Season's Outlook: Losing a scorer and defender like Black is a significant
blow, as is losing a playmaker like Waner. There is still plenty of talent and
athleticism on the roster; the Devils are up there with Georgia Tech and UNC in
terms of athletes.
One key for Duke this season will be how
their freshman and sophomore classes develop. McCallie has been unable to lure
high school All-Americans to Durham, but she was certainly able to do more with
less at Michigan State. The lingering question: Is she bringing in underrated
talent that will thrive in her system, or is Duke entering a slow state of
decline as a league power?
Results: Defeated Boston University, St. John's and Georgetown in the WNIT. Lost to South Florida in the WNIT.
What Went Right: This was a pretty fine season for new coach Sylvia Crawley.
The Eagles beat virtually every team they were supposed to (the only really bad
loss was to fellow WNIT team Wake Forest). The reason they didn't make it into
the NCAA tournament was that their only really good win was against Georgia
Tech. If they had managed just one more good win, especially on the road, they
probably would have made the tournament. Still, Mickel Picco has matured into
a consistently deadly outside shooter and hulking Carolyn Swords is one of the
toughest matchups in the league. While former ACC rookie-of-the-year Stefanie Murphy regressed a bit toward the mean as a sophomore, she was still a potent
scoring threat.
What Went Wrong: BC couldn't win against the league's elite because they don't
have elite athletes. Crawley wanted her team to run but eventually realized
that they simply couldn't survive games where they tried to go toe-to-toe with
the likes of UNC, Duke or Georgia Tech. The Eagles weren't going to win many
track meets, nor did they have the talent pool to beat the league's best opponents with half-court execution. BC lacked quality
depth and had to play point guard by committee the whole year.
Next Season's Outlook: The entire starting lineup returns intact, something that
can't be said of most ACC teams. The league's lower-level teams can't cope with
BC's quality size, and Picco is such an outside threat that simply zoning them
won't work either. What's going to ultimately make or break BC's season will
be the development of their young players. Three juniors who received
minimal playing time just transferred, which may well be a sign that Crawley is
clearing the decks to open up more scholarships. The frosh and sophs will have
every opportunity to build BC's bench to a level at which the Eagles can compete with
the rest of the ACC. I suspect that next season's Eagles will be ready to pull an upset
or two, getting them to eight or nine ACC wins and a trip to the NCAA tournament.
Wake Forest (WNIT, top 16 seeds)
Results: Lost to Georgetown in the second round of the WNIT.
What Went Right: After years of frustration, the Deacs finally made it to
postseason play. In addition to being anchored by senior stalwarts Corrine Groves and Alex Tchangoue, the Deacs got a lot of solid play out of young
players like leaper Brittany Waters, waterbug Brooke Thomas and rangy wing
Secily Ray. While the team lacked size, they made up for it with quickness,
becoming a tough team to score on.
What Went Wrong: While it was great that Wake made it to the WNIT, the team was
on the precipice of an NCAA berth. They started the year 14-0 but dropped
league games to Virginia Tech, Clemson and NC State (twice). It didn't help
that they lacked starting center Groves in several of those key games, but they
just couldn't get it done against lesser teams. They righted the ship against
NC State in the ACC Tournament and nearly pulled off a huge upset against
Maryland but it was too little, too late. The Deacs got a bye for the first round of the WNIT, but then promptly lost at home
to Georgetown in the second round, 61-72.
Next Season's Outlook: Wake's window may have closed, given that they're losing
27 ppg and 13 rpg -- on a team that didn't score a whole lot of points to begin with. Groves
was the closest thing they had to a post presence, while Tchangoue's
versatility made up for a number of glaring weaknesses. The good news is that
Coach Mike Petersen pulled in a decent recruiting class (four top 100 players),
and two of them are posts who will have an opportunity to play right away.
Waters is poised to become a star, and there is improved quickness on this
team. Still, this is not a team that was ready to beat anyone good last year,
and I don't see that happening in 2009-10 either. Watch out for this group of
players in two years; Wake could finally make the NCAA tournament then.
NC State
Results: No postseason play
What Went Right: Shayla Fields was the team's heart and soul and kept them in
many games. Sharnise Beal and Nikitta Gartrell became dependable double-digit
scorers. Bonae Holston was a surprise frosh find, contributing right away in
terms of scoring and rebounding. After
Kay Yow's death, a devastated roster plowed ahead as best as
it could, giving every opponent their best shot -- the win over Virginia was a season highlight.
What Went Wrong: Obviously, the death of Kay Yow cast a pall over the team's
season. Even a fully-stocked NC State team would have found it hard to compete
at a high level after the death of their beloved coach, and this happened to be
the thinnest, least talented NC State team in quite some time. There was no bench
to speak of and no post presence. The team had to rely solely on their shooting
and defense, and they were simply outgunned by most ACC opponents.
Next Season's Outlook: It's going to take a while to adjust to the hiring of
Kelly Harper, given that everyone wanted Yow assistant Stephanie Glance to take
the job. With Fields graduating, Harper won't have much to work with. A new
coach can sometimes energize a roster; she can also alienate a team as she tries to
adjust the players to her style. It'll be interesting to see which
sort of coach Harper is, but in either event, next season will be a long one for
the Wolfpack Women.
Results: No postseason play
What Went Right: Shenise Johnson was ACC rookie of the year, and fellow frosh
guard Riquna Williams also proved to be a keeper. Epiphany Woodson followed up a solid
rookie campaign with a good sophomore showing. Miami started to become more
competitive toward the end of the year, despite winning just two league games.
What Went Wrong: Johnson was the team's only double-digit scorer. The team had
no consistent post presence. Johnson, Woodson and Williams were the only true
ACC-quality players on the team.
Next Season's Outlook: Katie Meier is slowly starting to add some pieces to her
team. Forward Morgan Stroman will receive immediate playing time as a frosh and
will hope to balance out the perimeter talent of the team's current Big Three.
A healthy Ashly Sours could be the athlete the team needs in the post. At the
moment, there's reason to be intrigued but this team is far from being ready to
win in the ACC. Meier will need more from last year's frosh class as well as
her new crop of players to become competitive. There will be a lot of bad
teams in the league next year, so if Johnson makes the leap to superstar, the
'Canes could surprise.
Virginia Tech
Results: No postseason play
What Went Right: Despite being seriously undermanned, coach Beth Dunkenberger
managed to keep her Hokies competitive. Role players Utahya Drye and Lindsay
Biggs became double-digit scorers, while several new and underused players also
stepped up. Rising junior Brittany
Gordon had some bright moments in the pivot, while Alabama transfer Nikki Davis
provided some nice scoring punch off the bench. Rising soph Shanel Harrison
displayed some much-needed quickness and physicality. VT was very close to having a winning season, against all odds.
What Went Wrong: When you start off a season with two double-digit scorers
getting knocked out of commission, it's hard to recover. Sharpshooter Brittany Cook tore her
ACL, while athletic wing Andrea Barbour left the team. The Hokies simply didn't
have the size, talent or skills to seriously compete in the ACC.
Next Season's Outlook: Cook decided to end her career, but VT will only lose
point guard Laura Haskins, a player of limited ability. Veteran forward Amber
Hall will return from injury, bolstering VT's frontline. With a much more
experienced team and the possibility of a large frosh class having an impact,
Virginia Tech has a shot at a winning season and a potential WNIT berth. They
could even finish as high as eighth in the ACC.
Clemson
Results: No postseason play
What Went Right: Wing Lele Hardy became a bona fide star, the sophomore class
started to demonstrate more potential, and the Tigers may well have found a
true starting center in Shaniqua Pauldo, who went off in Clemson's ACC
tournament first-round upset of Georgia Tech.
What Went Wrong: Other than Hardy, Clemson's upperclassmen significantly
underachieved this year. In a season where the bottom of the ACC was so weak,
this was Clemson's time to strike, and they blew it. Hardy had no one step up
as a regular secondary scorer, much less a third option. The Tigers' post game was
easily overwhelmed and foul prone. There was no consistency or cohesion.
Next Season's Outlook: Once again, the Tigers have a chance to move up in the
ACC rankings. They return everyone but guard Tasha Taylor, who was a shadow of
her past self last season after knee surgery. In order to really contend,
they'll need Whitney Hood to become a consistent double-digit scorer at
forward; they'll need Pauldo to become a solid defensive presence and
rebounder; they'll need Sthefany Thomas and Kirstyn Wright to become consistent
long-range shooters; and they'll need better point guard play. That could mean
redshirt senior Christy Brown (if she bounces back from last season) or frosh
Keyrra Gillespie. Hardy could make all the difference for the Tigers next
season, because she gives them the star power that other low-level ACC squads
lack. If the Tigers can't achieve a winning record with Hardy as a senior,
don't be surprised if this becomes Coach Christy McKinney's final year.